Forecast Insight For Monday, October 19, 2009

Today:

Synopsis of Weather Conditions:

Today we’re looking at temperatures throughout the tri-state above the 35 to 36 degree threshold regarded as the mark to look for regarding potential frost. As of 6:45am CDT, the southernmost portions of the viewing area, along with Carmi, were the only areas at or below 36 degrees. Later today, a southerly wind will warm us into the 60’s for the first time in a week. High pressure will also help to keep all of the sunshine we enjoyed on Sunday in place. One more thing to address, the models have been pretty consistent in bringing a mid-level disturbance through the area during the PM hours, but the only impact we’ll receive is a few mid-level clouds, if that. Rain will not occur today.

Forecasted High Temperature

Today’s Wind Forecast: Southwest winds at 5 to 15 mph…

Tonight:

Synopsis of Weather Conditions:

Tonight we can expect another clear sky with an impressive dome of high pressure continuing to keep the tri-state dry. Despite the clear skies, temperatures will bottom out at slightly milder marks compared to what we saw Sunday morning as well as this morning (they were in the 30’s). The primary reason for the milder late-night is the prevailing southerly flow, albeit light, at the surface.

Forecasted Low Temperature

Tonight’s Wind Forecast: South-southwest winds at 3 to 6 mph… Otherwise, calm winds…


Tomorrow:

Synopsis of Weather Conditions:

Tomorrow is going to be a lot like today, if not even better. High pressure will still be in control Tuesday, and its central position to our east will induce a southerly wind warming us well into the 60’s. Unabated sunshine will also play a significant role in warming us up to, at least, our seasonable high of 68 in Evansville. While the forecast high for tomorrow is 69, I wouldn’t be surprised if several parts of the tri-state actually reached into the lower 70’s. Temperatures will have a slightly better crack at the 70’s on Wednesday. Rain will certainly not be a concern for your Tuesday.

Forecasted High Temperature

Tomorrow’s Wind Forecast: South winds at 5 to 15 mph…

Extended Forecast Overview:

*What someone deems to be unseasonably warm or unseasonably cool is entirely subjective and also depends on the typical temperature variability of any given location. For the purposes of the chart above, unseasonably warm will be defined as having a high temperature greater than 10 degrees above the seasonable average for that day at KEVV (The Evansville Regional Airport). Likewise, unseasonably cool will be defined as having a high temperature 10 degrees below the seasonable average for that day at KEVV.

**It’s important to note that Ron’s temperature forecasts may significantly differ with the other forecasts from time to time. There are two reasons for this. First, Ron is working with older model data than myself when I come in during the morning hours and produce my forecast. Model forecasts can vary significantly between issuances. Second, Ron may see reasonable meteorological evidence to vary his forecast significantly from the models and myself. His forecast is added to the temperature forecast grids to provide additional perspective into the forecast.