Forecast Insight For Tuesday, November 3, 2009

Today:

Synopsis of Weather Conditions:

A cold front passed through the tri-state last night, and with it we witnessed a few clouds in the sky during the early AM hours. As I’m writing this around 10 am CST, sunshine and blue skies have since flooded out the skies, and we should maintain this sunshine through the end of the day thanks to a core of high pressure to our west. Given the position of the high pressure system, a northerly breeze can be expected for today which will prevent the temperature from rising into the 60’s as it did yesterday.

Forecasted High Temperature

Today’s Wind Forecast: North winds at 5 to 10 mph…

Tonight:

Synopsis of Weather Conditions:

Tonight will start mostly clear, but an approaching cold front (yes, another one) will being in cloudier skies as we go through the overnight hours. Given the cloud cover, I don’t believe temperatures will fall to levels forecasted by the models.

Forecasted Low Temperature

Tonight’s Wind Forecast: Light and variable breezes… Otherwise, expect calm winds…

Tomorrow:

Synopsis of Weather Conditions:

Tomorrow will be a mostly cloudy thanks to a weak cold front moving through the area. A few showers are possible but highly unlikely because, at any given point Wednesday, there will only be a thin saturated layer capable of producing drizzle or a light shower. Further, computer model data has been consistent over the last few days to keep the bulk of the moisture north of the tri-state including the rain producing clouds. Since there very well be an isolated shower or some drizzle, I have to put a 10% chance of precipitation on Wednesday, but I think most, if not all, folks will be staying dry. Temperatures tomorrow will struggle to get out of the lower 50’s, but my forecast high is as high as 55 because of upward pressure based on the other forecast sources listed in the spreadsheet below.

Forecasted High Temperature

Tomorrow’s Wind Forecast: West-southwest winds at 5 to 10 mph…

Extended Forecast Overview:

*What someone deems to be unseasonably warm or unseasonably cool is entirely subjective and also depends on the typical temperature variability of any given location. For the purposes of the chart above, unseasonably warm will be defined as having a high temperature greater than 10 degrees above the seasonable average for that day at KEVV (The Evansville Regional Airport). Likewise, unseasonably cool will be defined as having a high temperature 10 degrees below the seasonable average for that day at KEVV.

**It’s important to note that Ron’s temperature forecasts may significantly differ with the other forecasts from time to time. There are two reasons for this. First, Ron is working with older model data than myself when I come in during the morning hours and produce my forecast. Model forecasts can vary significantly between issuances. Second, Ron may see reasonable meteorological evidence to vary his forecast significantly from the models and myself. His forecast is added to the temperature forecast grids to provide additional perspective into the forecast.