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Forecast Insight Issued Thursday, November 5, 2009
Thursday, Nov 5, 2009 @10:53am CST
Forecast Insight For Thursday, November 5, 2009
Today:
Synopsis of Weather Conditions:Today high pressure centered to our west will keep us dry while producing a light northwest breeze. The northwest winds will help to limit some of the daytime heating, but we’re still looking a seasonable Thursday as the normal high for November 5th in
Evansville
Forecasted High Temperature**Ron Rhodes’s forecast from last night’s newscast:
57
The GFS Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
57
The NAM Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
54
My forecast for today’s high:
57
Today’s Wind Forecast: Northwest winds at 4 to 8 mph…
Tonight:
Synopsis of Weather Conditions:Tonight high pressure will still be in control and clear skies will continue to blanket the tri-state. Temperatures will be permitted to drop into the 30’s with a few degrees of the dew point. The dew point late tonight into early tomorrow should be in the lower to mid 30’s region-wide.
Forecasted Low Temperature**Ron Rhodes’s forecast from last night’s newscast:
39
The GFS Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
34
The NAM Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
36
My forecast for tonight’s low:
39
Tonight’s Wind Forecast: Calm winds…
Tomorrow:
Synopsis of Weather Conditions:Tomorrow is another gloriously boring day with high pressure still imposing its will upon the viewing area resulting in sunny skies. A readjustment in the position of the high pressure system to our southeast will help to create a more southerly wind helping the temperatures rise into the 60’s and certainly make for a milder afternoon compared to what’s expected for your Thursday. This warming trend will continue into the weekend when high temperatures near 70 are forecasted.
Forecasted High Temperature**Ron Rhodes’s forecast from last night’s newscast:
62
The GFS Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
63
The NAM Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
62
My forecast for tomorrow’s high:
62
Tomorrow’s Wind Forecast: South winds at 5 to 15 mph…
Extended Forecast Overview:Day
Temperatures
Forecast
High
Normal
HighSaturday
70
60
Sunday
71
59
Monday
65
59
Tuesday
60
58
Wednesday
63
58
Day
Risk of Weather Events Occurring
Breezy (Winds
>15 mph)
Windy (Winds >25 mph
Unseasonably
WarmUnseasonably
Cool*Saturday
High
Low
High
None
Sunday
Moderate
None
High
None
Monday
Low
None
None
None
Tuesday
Moderate
None
None
None
Wednesday
Low
None
None
None
Risk of Weather Events Occurring
Snow
Ice
Rain
T-Storms
Saturday
None
None
None
None
Sunday
None
None
None
None
Monday
None
None
Moderate
None
Tuesday
None
None
Moderate
None
Wednesday
None
None
None
None
*What someone deems to be unseasonably warm or unseasonably cool is entirely subjective and also depends on the typical temperature variability of any given location. For the purposes of the chart above, unseasonably warm will be defined as having a high temperature greater than 10 degrees above the seasonable average for that day at KEVV (TheEvansville Regional Airport
**It’s important to note that Ron’s temperature forecasts may significantly differ with the other forecasts from time to time. There are two reasons for this. First, Ron is working with older model data than myself when I come in during the morning hours and produce my forecast. Model forecasts can vary significantly between issuances. Second, Ron may see reasonable meteorological evidence to vary his forecast significantly from the models and myself. His forecast is added to the temperature forecast grids to provide additional perspective into the forecast.