Forecast Insight For Friday, November 6, 2009
Today:
Synopsis of Weather Conditions:
Today is starting out with some partial sunshine as an unexpected swath of mid-level clouds is overspreading the tri-state. This minor disturbance certainly won’t produce any rainfall, and mostly sunny skies are expected to develop as we head into the afternoon hours. Temperatures this afternoon will be a bit higher than yesterday’s high of 56 in Evansville thanks to a southerly flow. The south wind is the result of the center of high pressure influencing our weather setting up to the east. Overall, your Friday is going to be very pleasant by most people’s standards.
Forecasted High Temperature
**Ron Rhodes’s forecast from last night’s newscast:
| 63
|
The GFS Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
| 66
|
The NAM Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
| 63
|
My forecast for today’s high:
| 64
|
Today’s Wind Forecast: South-southeast winds at 5 to 15 mph…
Tonight:
Synopsis of Weather Conditions:
Tonight the tri-state will remain under the influence of high pressure centered to our east. The resultant southerly flow, direction and intensity, will help to keep temperatures up in the 40’s. Clear skies can also be expected for the overnight with just a few clouds here and there.
Forecasted Low Temperature
**Ron Rhodes’s forecast from last night’s newscast:
| 45
|
The GFS Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
| 46
|
The NAM Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
| 45
|
My forecast for tonight’s low:
| 45
|
Tonight’s Wind Forecast: South winds at 5 to 10 mph…
Tomorrow:
Synopsis of Weather Conditions:
Tomorrow will be absolutely beautiful as long as you don’t mind a little bit of wind. High pressure to our east will continue to be the primary driver of our weather Saturday bringing sunny skies and a stiff wind out of the southwest. High temperatures tomorrow will be between 10 and 15 degrees above normal.
Forecasted High Temperature
**Ron Rhodes’s forecast from last night’s newscast:
| 70
|
The GFS Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
| 67
|
The NAM Model issued at 7:00pm last night:
| 69
|
My forecast for tomorrow’s high:
| 70
|
Tomorrow’s Wind Forecast: Southwest winds at 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 mph…
Extended Forecast Overview:
Day
| Temperatures
|
| Forecast
High
| Normal High
|
Sunday
| 71
| 59
|
Monday
| 68
| 59
|
Tuesday
| 58
| 58
|
Wednesday
| 62
| 58
|
Thursday
| 65
| 57
|
Day
| Risk of Weather Events Occurring
| |
| Breezy (Winds
>15 mph)
| Windy (Winds >25 mph
| Unseasonably Warm
| Unseasonably Cool*
| |
|
Sunday
| Low
| None
| High
| None
| |
Monday
| Low
| None
| Moderate
| None
| |
Tuesday
| Moderate
| None
| None
| None
| |
Wednesday
| Low
| None
| None
| None
| |
Thursday
| Moderate
| None
| Moderate
| None
| |
| Risk of Weather Events Occurring
| |
| Snow
| Ice
| Rain
| T-Storms
| |
Sunday
| None
| None
| None
| None
| |
Monday
| None
| None
| Very Low
| None
| |
Tuesday
| None
| None
| Moderate
| None
| |
Wednesday
| None
| None
| None
| None
| |
Thursday
| None
| None
| None
| None
| |
*What someone deems to be unseasonably warm or unseasonably cool is entirely subjective and also depends on the typical temperature variability of any given location. For the purposes of the chart above, unseasonably warm will be defined as having a high temperature greater than 10 degrees above the seasonable average for that day at KEVV (The Evansville Regional Airport). Likewise, unseasonably cool will be defined as having a high temperature 10 degrees below the seasonable average for that day at KEVV.
**It’s important to note that Ron’s temperature forecasts may significantly differ with the other forecasts from time to time. There are two reasons for this. First, Ron is working with older model data than myself when I come in during the morning hours and produce my forecast. Model forecasts can vary significantly between issuances. Second, Ron may see reasonable meteorological evidence to vary his forecast significantly from the models and myself. His forecast is added to the temperature forecast grids to provide additional perspective into the forecast.